Election Results: House

A dozen races have still yet to be called, but basic conclusions about the House and what it means for Ukraine can be made.

1: 2025 House will retain a solid Majority of Strong Supporters and Supporters of Ukraine.

2: Many Ukraine Supporters were in tight races and won, but the races were close.

3: It is vital for supporters of the American-Ukraine relationship to continue to support Members of Congress who support Ukraine.

In 2024, 346 out of 435 were Strong Supporters or Supporters of Ukraine, according to the American Ukraine PAC Report Card. This includes, 210 Dems who were Strong Supporters and 5 who were Supporters. 99 Republicans were Strong Supporters and 32 were Supporters. All Supporters and Strong Supporters voted in favor of the Supplemental in April.

It seems likely that the Republicans will retain control of the House and increase their majority by a few seats. There will be about 30 new Members of the House in 2025. Most of the new Members will be replacing a Member from their own Party and can be expected to vote similar to their predecessor. Additionally, most of the new Members do not have foreign policy experience and Ukraine was not a key issue in the campaign.

As a result, it is safe to assume that the new House will continue to show strong support for Ukraine from both parties.

In looking at specific races, the 2025 election will be remembered by many Ukraine Champions winning by narrow margins.

Rep Kaptur (D OH9), long-time head of the Ukraine Caucus, won by 0.3%.

Rep Bacon (R NE), Ukraine Champion, won by less than 2%.

Rep Kean (R NJ7). Strong supporter of Ukraine who sits on House Foreign Affairs Committee, won by 4%.

Rep Vasquez (D NM2) Strong Ukraine supporter  who sits on Armed Services Committee whose opponent voted against Ukraine Aid in 2022, won by 4%.

Rep Schweikert (R AZ1) Strong supporter of Ukraine, won by 4%.

Rep Gluesenkamp Perez (D WA3). Strong supporter of Ukraine who is running against an isolationist, won by 4%.

Rep Susie Lee (D NV3) Strong supporter of Ukraine who sits on House Appropriations Committee, won by 2%.

Rep Donald Davis (R NC1) Strong supporter of Ukraine who sits on House Armed Services Committee, won by less than 1%.

Rep Kiggans (VA 2), co-sponsor of the Stand With Ukraine Act, won by 4%.

Some Ukraine Champions won by safer margins:

Rep Fitzpatrick (R PA1), head of Ukraine caucus, won by 6%.

Rep Steven Horsford (D NV4) Strong supporter of Ukraine who sits on House Armed Services Committee, won by 8%.

Rep Lawler (R NY17) Strong supporter of Ukraine who sits on Foreign Affairs Committee and Financial Services, which oversees Russian sanctions, won by 6%.

Rep Ryan (R NY 18) Strong supporter of Ukraine who sits on House Armed Services Committee, won by 6%.

Rep James (R MI 6), strong supporter of Ukraine, won by 6%.

In 4 key races that have yet to be called, but Ukraine supporters ahead.

Rep Calvert (R CA 41) Chair of the Defense Appropriations Subcommittee, is up by 2%.

Rep Ciscomani (R AZ6) Ukraine supporters who sits on Appropriations Committee, is up by 0.5%.

Rep Golden (ME 2) is up by less than 0.5%.

Rep Valadao (R CA22) Strong supporter of Ukraine, former military, who sits on Appropriations Committee and sub-committee on Military Construction, is up by 8%.

In one key race, a Ukraine Supporter is behind:

Rep Garcia (R CA27), Strong supporter of Ukraine who sits on Military Appropriations and Intelligence Committee, is down by less than 2%.

A Key new Member:

Rep Vindman (VA 3) won the open seat by 2%. Rep Vindman has yet to vote on Ukraine issues, but he has been active in assisting Ukraine for the past several years and should be a strong voice for Ukraine in Congress.

There were some tough losses:

Rep Susan Wild (D PA7) Ukraine Champion, who sponsored bill censoring Russia for kidnapping Ukrainian children and who sits on Foreign Affairs Committee, lost by 2%.

Rep Cartwright (D PA8) Strong supporter of Ukraine who sits on Appropriations Committee, lost by 2%.

Rep Molinaro (R NY19) Strong supporter of Ukraine and running against a radical progressive who will vote against military aid, lost by less than 1.5%.

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11/12: Stronger Rhetoric in Support of Ukraine.

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Election Results: Senate